Monday, September 14, 2009

MGM - What now?


Today MGM has moved again higher for 8th straight session, hitting a higher low but staying below its previous high, for the first time during all these sessions. Also, the volume has consistently increased in these last sessions, but suddenly dropped today. A fall in volume usually precedes a fall in the share price; An increase in volume is required to see a continued increase in the share price. As long as MGM remains below its $12.59 top. MGM seems to be starting build support around $11.70. As long as MGM stays within this range, I'm issuing a WAIT signal. If MGM break $12.59, and closes higher, this would be a new buy indicator. If MGM breaks down below approximately $11.70, it would be a potential sell signal, but ideally it would have to be a break below $11.25-$11.00 where it should have strong support. If MGM hits $11.25-$11.00, and bounces back up, this would be also a BUY signal. As things stand right now we have support at $11.70, and any bounces back up this price level is bullish, and would give less chance for MGM to fall below.

Current Indicator:
MGM - WAIT

6 comments:

  1. Nice work. Much appreciated. HGSI seems to be moving higher. With an increase of 6% or so today. Do you see this trend continuing? I see bearish signs on the charts.

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  2. Yoel what is your prediction for LVS, it also started rallying with MGM and had a run of about +8% today and got an upgrade today. Do you see this trend cont. till LVS reaches around 21?

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  3. As I posted in my last post, I'm maintaining a HOLD on LVS, it's in a strong and stable uptrend. It's hard to say where it will stop, and I'm not sure how you came up with $21, but as long as the trend continues you should hold on. LVS, like I mentioned in an old post is one of the 5 stocks along with MGM that I expect to outperform the market in general, at least for the remainder of the year. MGM is a bit more choppy than LVS. As things stand, based on my top 5 outperforming stocks for the year, it now looks like MGM & LVS will outperform my number one pick of BAC. But you never know, things change quickly, and MGM & LVS are generally very volatile.

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  4. arko, HGSI is in a very slow, and slowing uptrend. I don't see very much sign of a reversal yet, but it may happen sooner rather than later, if HGSI continues to move slower and slower to finally turn lower. At this time the trend is still slightly up, you can hold on if you are long, but I wouldn't expect much of a return from it. It looks a lot like CIT's chart.

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  5. thanks yoel, appreciate your feedback as always.

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  6. Thanks Yoel for your comments. I got $21 number from the analysts upgrade for LVS from yesterday. Looks like all the casino stocks are not ready to stop!!

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