Tuesday, September 8, 2009

C - Diamond Top Formation & Engulfing Pattern


"What do you think about C? Today I sold all my shares, which would be a new entry point?"

I think selling all your shares of C today was a great call. There seems to be a diamond top formation, which is one of the hardest formations to observe. One of the criteria of the diamond formation is having C's volume remain strong which is the case. Also the 200 day moving average is flattening out which further fuel that this is indeed a diamond formation. This diamond top indicates a reversal to a downtrend. The shorter the pattern the more quickly C should move down to its price target. Right now I'm observing 3 support levels at $4.00, $3.75, and $3.25. I think it's fair to assume C could pullback around $3.75-$4.00 within 1-3 weeks. The diamond formation is very likely to be confirmed tomorrow, if we have another down gap. Also, an engulfing pattern occurred today. This pattern occurs when after a small gap down, you have a big down gap the next hitting a higher high, but closing at a lower low than the previous day. This is also an indication of a top. In conclusion, I think C will breakdown very soon, possibly tomorrow and start trending back down. In terms of a new entry point, I always like to wait on a day to day basis for the next signal. But a very likely scenario is seeing C pullback down to around $3.75-$4.00, which if it manages to bounce back from these levels and strengthen its support, would be a good entry point.

4 comments:

  1. Good technical analysis. Do take a look at C's insider buying lots at $4.85. So imo the price wont fall too much below that. Just my 2cents.

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  2. I don't think you can conclude that C, would hold up at $4.85 just based on some insider buying, unless it is very significant. I've seen other stocks, with a reasonable amount of insider buying, which didn't stop the stock to move any lower. If the insider buying had any significance, this would automatically be reflected in the stock price, as other investors would follow and raise their bids and their asks.

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