Stock Trading Predictions & Technical Analysis: CGX - Still in a Major Up Trend Despite Turbulence

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

CGX - Still in a Major Up Trend Despite Turbulence

CGX - HOLD

CGX is one stock with a very particular chart right now. Since the month of November, CGX have been trading in a clean and clear up trending channel staying both above its 20 day MA (indicated by the Bollinger Bands - middle green line) and 50 day MA. In mid-January, CGX finally broke its channel's support line and traded below its 20 day MA. CGX came close to breaking its 50 day MA, but managed to strongly bounce back up to maintains its major up trend. However, what was once its support level is now resistance, which is is indicated by the middle sharp blue channel line. Despite the recent strong bounce up, there is now a warning sign as we can now observe a rising wedge pattern. There are currently two possible scenarios: 1) CGX jumps higher to break above the up trending resistance line to re-enter its up trending channel line, giving us a BUY SIGNAL. 2) CGX breaks sharply below the lower up trending blue support line, sending CGX at least towards $36.50 and $35.00. If the 2nd scenario occurs we will have a SELL SIGNAL out looking a minor down trend. However, the major up trend will remain intact as long as CGX remains above its 50 day MA. For, now CGX is a HOLD.

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TECHNICAL INDICATORS

BUY SIGNAL: Indicates the possibility of the start of a new up trend or the continuation of the current up trend. This signal may be often given in the early stages of a potential new up trend that was preceded by a down or sideways trend. Such signals do not always succeed and may fail at time.

BUY: Indicates that the current up trend is already in motion and a BUY SIGNAL was already given earlier. A BUY does not necessarily indicate that the stock will continue higher from here, but simply that the stock is trending up. The further into the trend you decide to take a long position, the more risk you have of seeing it reverse back down sooner rather than later.

STRONG BUY SIGNAL: Indicates a stronger, more significant and reliable signal than a BUY SIGNAL which usually has less chance of failing. Such signals do not always succeed and may fail at time.

STRONG BUY: Indicates that the current up trend is already in motion and that STRONG BUY SIGNAL was already given.

SELL SIGNAL: Indicates the possibility of the start of a new down trend or the continuation of the current down trend. This signal may be often given in the early stages of a potential new down trend that was preceded by an up or sideways trend. Such signals do not always succeed and may fail at time.

SELL: Indicates that the current down trend is already in motion and a SELL SIGNAL was already given earlier. A SELL does not necessarily indicate that the stock will continue lower from here, but simply that the stock is trending down. The further into the trend you decide to sell a position, the more risk you have of seeing it reverse back up.

STRONG SELL SIGNAL: Indicates a stronger, more significant and reliable signal than a SELL SIGNAL which usually has less chance of failing. Such signals do not always succeed and may fail at time.

STRONG SELL: Indicates that the current down trend is already in motion and that STRONG SELL SIGNAL was already given.

HOLD: Indicates that traders who already hold this stock, should hold on as long as the trend persists. This signal is usually given during an up trend for which it would be considered too risky to take a long position at this point.

STRONG HOLD: Indicates that the current trend has been in motion for a while and rarely deviated away from the trend. Although the stock may continue higher, there may not be enough potential up side to trigger a BUY SIGNAL. This type of indicator usually means that the stock has very strong support levels which may have been tested but not broken.

WAIT: Usually given during a sideways trend for which we are waiting for a move that would trigger a BUY SIGNAL or SELL SIGNAL. This could also indicate uncertainty and the risk that would be taken if you were to take a long position at the current level. Taking a long position after giving a WAIT indicator is considered a gamble.